Saturday 6 August 2011

AA+


Some noteworthy comments:

FT Lex stays calm...
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/3/6cc4efbc-c0e8-11e0-b8c2-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1UHt1Amm3


http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/08/06/the-best-summary-of-the-sp-downgrade/


http://www.econbrowser.com/archives/2011/08/the_sp_downgrad.html


http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/7c3f7704-c012-11e0-8016-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1UHt1Amm3


and already in June 2009:

http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/3672


Monday morning US Treasury futures update. The market reacts as perversely as could be expected as the 10-year yield tumples from 2.60 to 2.50%.



2.60
Monday night: Obama says we will always be AAA (Hey teacher, leave us all alone...!)
2.55
2.50
2.45
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/08/08/idUS74221581220110808
It is true that the US can print $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$...indefinitely.

Tuesday, 9th August: $ weakens against safe haven currencies (the result of the prospect of the Fed printing $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ - or QE3), and two statements that are noteworthy:

Paola Subacchi (Chatham) http://www.chathamhouse.org/media/comment/view/177289

Prof Willem Buiter (Citi), in a note 9th August (no hyperlink here), pronounces
The US sovereign downgrade was both expected and appropriate, in our view.
The roots of US fiscal unsustainability date back to 2001.
Absolutely safe assets no longer exist.
The other AAA-rated G7 sovereigns are all at risk of a downgrade, with the markets focusing particularly on France.In the emerging Brave New World without AAA G7 sovereigns, relative safety guides portfolio allocation decisions.

The ABC of the US Triple-A Downgrade and of Others to Come

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